Many football lovers out there place a bet every week on the fixtures for that week but many will fall into the trap of placing multiples, accas, scorecasts .and other massive odds bets.
This is a trap because you have almost no chance of them coming in, sure you will get the odd person win an acca (I’m talking 100/1 plus accas with more than 5 or 6 selections).
Why you may ask, well this is because the more selections you add to
a bet the less chance you have of winning, football .in particular is
a funny old game and sometimes literally anything can happen.
Red cards, for example, can really put pay to any football bet as even if you have an odds on favourite team playing a poor form side the extra man can make a difference and on average 0.5 more goals are scored for 1 red card in the game.
So How To Really Nail The Bookie…Or Try?
I have to say the only type of bet a bookmaker fears is a win single, this is because it’s uncomplicated and is far more likely to come in than a multiple.
Plus if you were to win on your first bet and then chose to double up with another single this again has far more chances than a multiple meaning the bookmaker is more likely to have to pay you out again.
Find a selection that has a very high chance of coming in yet seems like good value odds wise as sometimes bookies miss the boat a little bit with their odds and give away far too much value.
On occasion. you may spot a false favourite in betting and again this is something that can be exploited with a win single type bet.
Like I mentioned above you should always look for value as sometimes bookmakers odds compilers can make a slight miscalculation.
A calculation I found online explains a little further:
Let’s consider a coin toss. When tossing a coin, there is a 50% chance that it will land on heads. Let’s say that a bookmaker is offering odds of 2.10 for the coin to land on heads. This is a value bet. Why? This is how we calculate a value bet:
- Value = (Probability * Decimal Odds) – 1
- Value = 1.05 – 1
- If the value is greater than 0, then you have found a value bet
- So in our example, do we have a value bet?
- Value = 0.05
Once you have a value bet its time to make the most of it, please remember that you should always set a staking plan and only lose what you can afford.
Focus on single bets and do not get tempted to place multiple style bets going forward unless they are for small stakes or for fun only.
Managing Your Betting Money properly
Staking plan, staking plan, staking plan! always have your own staking plan, if you do not know what a staking plan here is a rough guide.
Often these are used when following tipster services rather than placing your own bets but you can also utilize the plan to keep your focus on your betting.
£5 = 1 point
£2.50 = 0.5 points
£1 = 0.1 points
Basically you would only stake 1 point on a bet that has good value and also is very likely to come in, you would adjust the stake lower points-wise to reflect the probability of the bet coming in.
Once your betting bank has increased lets say from a £1000 starting bank to £2000 you can double the amount of your staking plan to reflect it, so now you would stake £10 for a 1 point bet and so on.
Managing your money and staking is very important if you want to succeed, again using a tipster service can be very worthwhile and should not be frowned upon Tipster Reviews is a great resource for finding successful horse racing tipsters and football tipsters that make long term profits.
I hope you found this post useful if you did please share it on your social media channels or link to it from your website to support my work.